Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000192 0.000215 0.000240 0.000268 0.000299 0.000333 0.000373
2024-12-29 0.000158 0.000189 0.000224 0.000266 0.000317 0.000376 0.000449
2025-01-05 0.000132 0.000167 0.000208 0.000262 0.000329 0.000412 0.000520
2025-01-12 0.000114 0.000151 0.000197 0.000261 0.000345 0.000452 0.000600
2025-01-19 0.000100 0.000139 0.000190 0.000262 0.000362 0.000496 0.000688
2025-01-26 0.000088 0.000127 0.000180 0.000258 0.000371 0.000529 0.000766
2025-02-02 0.000082 0.000123 0.000181 0.000270 0.000403 0.000595 0.000894
2025-02-09 0.000075 0.000117 0.000178 0.000274 0.000423 0.000646 0.001006
2025-02-16 0.000069 0.000111 0.000174 0.000277 0.000441 0.000695 0.001119
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000104 0.000168 0.000276 0.000454 0.000736 0.001222
2025-03-02 0.000057 0.000097 0.000161 0.000271 0.000458 0.000764 0.001307
2025-03-09 0.000053 0.000091 0.000155 0.000269 0.000468 0.000802 0.001409
2025-03-16 0.000048 0.000087 0.000151 0.000270 0.000483 0.000850 0.001539
2025-03-23 0.000045 0.000082 0.000147 0.000270 0.000497 0.000899 0.001675
2025-03-30 0.000041 0.000077 0.000142 0.000267 0.000504 0.000936 0.001793
2025-04-06 0.000038 0.000073 0.000138 0.000266 0.000516 0.000985 0.001937
2025-04-13 0.000035 0.000070 0.000135 0.000268 0.000533 0.001041 0.002103
2025-04-20 0.000032 0.000066 0.000130 0.000265 0.000539 0.001078 0.002233
2025-04-27 0.000032 0.000066 0.000133 0.000276 0.000577 0.001182 0.002508
2025-05-04 0.000030 0.000064 0.000132 0.000281 0.000599 0.001255 0.002729
2025-05-11 0.000028 0.000062 0.000130 0.000284 0.000619 0.001326 0.002950
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000059 0.000128 0.000283 0.000631 0.001382 0.003144
2025-05-25 0.000025 0.000056 0.000123 0.000278 0.000633 0.001414 0.003288